Losing starts at the top
Basketball Betting Lines
03/12/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - March is when college basketball vaults to the top of the sports scene. It also happens to be when I really start to pay attention to the college game with an eye on June's draft.
Conventional wisdom says college hoops is the "coach's game" while the pros is for the players. For the most part, I agree with that. The real stars of college basketball are the mentors calling timeout after timeout to extend a 13-point game with the hopes some athletic director at a bigger school is so impressed, he gets offered a deal to flee from the same teenagers he recruited a year ago with the promise he would always be there for them. On the other hand, the NBA is all about Kobe, LeBron, CP3 and Dwayne Wade.
Give the worst coach LeBron and he's going to beat every Larry Brown that comes down the pike.
That said, you have to find a way to procure the talent that will give the pedestrian coach the edge over the Hall of Fame pilot and that starts at the very top of the food chain -- ownership.
Great ownership can't guarantee you anything other than competitiveness but bad ownership is a recipe for losing consistently. Look no further than a pair of cities separated by 3,000 miles -- Los Angeles and Philadelphia -- to prove that thesis.
The Clippers' Donald Sterling thought so much of Mike Dunleavy this year that he fired him twice. Sure if we play semantics, Dunleavy stepped down as head coach last month to concentrate on his duties as general manager but everyone knows he was forced out.
On Tuesday, Sterling finally showed the courage of his convictions and went ahead and fired Dunleavy as general manager with five weeks to go in the regular season.
The news stunned Dunleavy, who had no idea he joined the growing ranks on the unemployed. "Had no clue!" Dunleavy said in an e-mail to The Los Angles Times.
It was typical Sterling, a real estate mogul that is almost universally considered one of the worst owners in all of sports since taking over the Clips in 1981-82. Whether its karma or just plain incompetence, the Clips' history under Sterling is scarier than anything Wes Craven ever produced.
Brown had the franchise heading in the right direction in the early 1990s but the nomadic one got antsy and packed his bags long before anything real was accomplished. Meanwhile, Dunleavy, joined the Clippers in 2003 and led the team to their lone playoff success in 2006.
Widely criticized for his tight hold over the purse strings and unwillingness to invest in his own team, Sterling seemed to have an epiphany when Dunleavy arrived but things have reverted back to form and the Clips are bottom-feeders again.
Across the country in Philadelphia, things are a bit different.
The Sixers have a storied history, both good and bad. The 1966-67 team led by Wilt Chamberlain and Hal Greer was once voted the best team in NBA history and, contrary to revisionist history that plays up Larry Bird's Celtics and Magic Johnson's Lakers, it was the 1982-83 Sixers team, fueled by Moses Malone and Julius Erving, that was the best team of that era. Meanwhile, the 1972-73 club was the worst in NBA history, finishing 9-73.
Today's Sixers are a lot closer to the '72-73 bunch than any championship teams but it wasn't like that earlier this decade when Pat Croce was in charge.
Croce became president of the Sixers in 1996 as part of a group led by Philadelphia Flyers founder Ed Snider and the Comcast Corporation that bought the team. Under Croce's reign, the Sixers went from last place in 1996 to the NBA Finals in 2001.
Giddy with success and upset he had to report to Snider, Croce attempted what can only be described as a coup, a plan quickly quashed by Snider, a sort of real life Two-Face, the fictional Batman villain with the dual personality.
The comic book version of Two-Face was of course Harvey Dent, the DA of Gotham City and a close ally of the Dark Knight. After a criminal disfigured half of his face with acid, Dent became the insane crime boss Two-Face who would choose to do either good or evil depending on the flip of a coin.
Snider may not be a criminal mastermind but he displays a similar dichotomy to fans of Philadelphia. To Flyers fans, Ed is a hero -- a never say die owner who will do anything to win. While the Stanley Cup hasn't taken up residence in the city in over 35 years, area hockey fans generally genuflect at the sight of Snider and all agree it hasn't been due to a lack of effort.
To Sixers fans, Snider is a clod. An absentee buffoon of an owner happy to collect the riches of the NBA's massive television contract while ignoring the product he puts on the floor.
After striking out with Elton Brand two offseasons ago, Snider and Sixers general manager Ed Stefanski had one bullet in their chamber for 2009-10 -- a new head coach.
Instead of hiring Doug Collins or Avery Johnson the team settled on Eddie Jordan, an abject disaster. Most blame Stefanski since he has a long history with Jordan and loves the guy but make no mistake, the Sixers' basketball chief wasn't given the checkbook to sign a big-time coach.
Philadelphia is now back at square one in salary cap hell, weighing whether to fire Jordan right now or let him coach through the end of the season while demanding he give more playing time to younger players such as Jrue Holiday, Jodie Meeks and Jason Smith.
In the end, it's all window dressing.
As long as Sterling and Snider are at the top of their respective organizations pulling their ill-conceived strings, losing is virtually predetermined for both the Clippers and Sixers.
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In what could be the sign of the times, Lookin At Lucky, last year's Eclipse Award-winning two-year-old, will have just two prep races prior to the Kentucky Derby. If the Bob Baffert-trained colt winds up c
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Atlantic City, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Juan Fernandez scored 17 points and doled out seven assists, as No. 17 Temple advanced to the semifinals of the Atlantic 10 Tournament with a solid 69-51 victory against St. Bonaventure at Boardwalk Hall.
Duke uses late surge to fend off Virginia in ACC quarters >>
Greensboro, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kyle Singler scored 18 points and grabbed 11
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Virginia in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament at Greensboro Coliseum.
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Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chicago Bulls All-Star point guard Derrick
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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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MySportsbook.com favors Bears, Bengals, Chargers and Colts to remain perfect
LAS VEGAS , Sept. 28 - Two big match-ups of undefeated teams have fans salivating at the Week Four schedule in the NFL. The Chicago Bears stifling defense looks to provide a less than hospitable welcome to the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday night in a battle of two 3-0 teams in the NFC conference. In the AFC, the San Diego Chargers (2-0) head to Maryland to face the surprising Baltimore Ravens (3-0) as both try to keep pace atop the conference standings. Betting Lines makers at MySportsbook.com, online sportsbook and casino, have set the Bears as 3.5 point favorites while the Chargers are a 2.5 point bet.
Of the three remaining undefeated teams, only one, New Orleans, enters this week's game as an underdog. Despite an emotional and resounding win over Atlanta on Monday night, the Saints are a 7.5 point underdog against the struggling Carolina Panthers. Indianapolis looks to stay perfect when they face the New York Jets as a 9 point road favorite while the Cincinnati Bengals are a 6 point favorite at home to the New England Patriots.
Six teams enter the week still looking for their first win, with a seventh, Tampa Bay, on a bye week. The prospect of dropping another game would not bode well for a potential playoff run. Since 1990, just three teams -- the 1992 Chargers, 1995 Detroit Lions and 1998 Buffalo Bills -- have overcome losing their first three games of the season to earn a postseason berth. And only the Chargers managed to accomplish the feat after starting 0-4.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NFL football betting needs.